Senegal vs Iraq - Upset Probability
Upset watch: Iraq carry a 31% win probability as the underdog in Senegal vs Iraq.
⚡ KickZoneX AI Prediction59/100
Senegal vs Iraq AI prediction: Senegal to win at 39%. Senegal win 39%, draw 30%, Iraq win 31%. Most likely score 1-1.
Senegal Win39%
Iraq Win31%AI Predicted WinnerSenegal
Most Likely ScoreSenegal 1-1 Iraq
Alternative outcomes1-00-10-0
Probabilidad de goles
+0.5 goles
90%
+1.5 goles
67%
+2.5 goles
40%
+3.5 goles
20%
+4.5 goles
8%
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Why does the AI predict this?
- Recent form: AI strength ratings - Senegal 67, Iraq 58.
- Attacking strength: expected goals 1.25 vs 1.04.
- Defensive strength: clean-sheet pressure reflected in a 54% both-teams-to-score probability.
- Expected goals: Senegal 1.25 xG, Iraq 1.04 xG.
- Team momentum: momentum edge to Senegal.
- Head-to-head influence: factored into the rating gap of 9 points.
- Tournament performance: form-adjusted across the World Cup 2026 model (official+model).
Projected score1-1
xG Senegal1.25
xG Iraq1.04
BTTS54%
Over 2.551%
Corners9
Cards3
Confidence59%
No predictions available
FAQ
Who does the AI predict to win Senegal vs Iraq?
The KickZoneX AI model favours Senegal, with win probabilities of 39% for Senegal, 30% draw and 31% for Iraq.
What is the predicted scoreline for Senegal vs Iraq?
The model projects a most-likely scoreline of 1-1, based on 1.25 expected goals for Senegal and 1.04 for Iraq.
How confident is the AI about Senegal vs Iraq?
Model confidence for this match is 59%. Source: official+model.
AI-generated statistical analysis for informational purposes only. Not betting advice.